Fragmented parliament: Leaders lose ground, coalitions become inevitable

Ahead of the parliamentary elections in Cyprus, the political landscape remains fragmented: leading parties maintain their lead but show no growth in support, making the formation of a majority without a broad coalition virtually impossible.

The ruling DISY party holds around 20%, but its electoral base is not expanding and remains at 58%. Despite the early announcement of candidates, there have been no significant changes since the autumn.

The opposition AKEL continues to lose ground: from 21% in September to 18.5% now. At the same time, the party maintains a high level of potential base (76%), which indicates possible mobilization, but so far without results.

ELAM holds the third position with 12.6%, although the figure has decreased compared to previous polls. Support for the party is significantly higher among men and young people.

The political movement "Odysseas Michaelides ALMA" has stabilized at 8.9%, yielding to initial double-digit results, but maintaining strong positions in Nicosia and Limassol.

DIKO remains at 7.4%, while the appointment of party representatives to ministerial posts has not led to an increase in popularity.

Fidias Panayiotou's "Direct Democracy" party is losing momentum — its support has dropped to 5.7% after an initial surge.

At the same time, Volt Cyprus is showing growth — up to 4.2%, twice as much as in December. However, experts note that current political scandals may influence the dynamics, and the sustainability of growth is still in question.

Among the smaller parties, EDEK (2.4%) and the Green Party (2.1%) have a better chance of entering parliament than their lower-rated competitors.

Analysts note: no single party will be able to form a majority on its own. Creating a government will require the cooperation of at least four political forces, making the future parliament even more dependent on complex coalition negotiations.